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Economic cycles: It is all about BALANCE

Hooray! We are now in the longest period of economic expansion in U.S. history (June 2009 to present), having recently surpassed the prior record of March 1991 to March 2001^1 The last two recessions were especially painful in the equity markets due to excesses built during the expansion that created significant imbalances. It is no wonder a number of people are displaying what you might call “a fear of economic heights” as the current expansion continues. So, we would like to share a few perspectives on economic expansions and recessions. First, in our view, there is no reason a recession must occur. Economic expansions are driven by increases in the population and the effects of new techno

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